http://w.atwiki.jp/yakyuiroiro/ 野球いろいろ ja 2013-07-17T23:02:19+09:00 1374069739 https://w.atwiki.jp/yakyuiroiro/pages/37.html 『打率偏重型の打者はOPSで過小評価される』という持論から OPS＝OBP+SLG　だが、印象面ではIsoD+IsoPのほうが実態に近いという考えも持っている #contents() ---- *打席で揃える場合 打者A　BA.400　OBP.400　SLG.400　150打席　150打数　60塁打　*0四球　90アウト　60単打 打者B　BA.100　OBP.400　SLG.400　150打席　100打数　40塁打　50四球　90アウト　10本塁打 【60塁打】と【40塁打＋50四球】の価値を比較することで解答が得られる 『20塁打＝50四球』の場合は引き分け わかりやすくすると　1塁打＝2.5四球　or　1四球＝0.4塁打 1塁打が四球2.5個分の価値。または1四球は1塁打の40%の価値 さすがにこれは実感から遠いと感じるほうが多数派になりそう もっと違う切り口を探す 塁打と四球をそのまま使っていたが、これをXRに置き換えて考え直す XRの各係数 単打0.50　本塁打1.44　四球（敬遠以外）0.34 塁打だと単打と本塁打の価値は1:4　4倍の開きがあるのに対して XRの係数では、単打と本塁打の価値が0.50:1.44　＝2.88倍の開き それぞれ価値をXRに直すと 【60単打＝XR30.0】【10本塁打＝XR14.4】【50四球＝XR17.0】 つまり 【60単打＝XR30.0】と【10本塁打＆50四球＝XR14.4+17.0＝XR31.4】 僅かに打者Bのほうが上だが、この程度なら係数を求めるサンプル次第で覆りそうな範囲内か 仮に単打の価値がXR0.53だと打者Aのほうが上になる ---- *打数で揃える場合 打者A　BA.400　OBP.400　SLG.400　150打席　150打数　60塁打　*0四球　*90アウト　60単打 打者B　BA.100　OBP.400　SLG.400　225打席　150打数　60塁打　75四球　135アウト　15本塁打 XRに置き換え 【60単打＝XR30.0】【15本塁打＝XR21.6】【75四球＝XR25.5】 【60単打＝XR30.0】と【15本塁打＆75四球＝XR21.6+25.5＝XR47.1】 盗塁死・犠打・犠 2013-07-17T23:02:19+09:00 1374069739 https://w.atwiki.jp/yakyuiroiro/pages/36.html [[Baseball-Reference>>http://www.baseball-reference.com/]]＞[[2012 American League Batting Splits 【Hit Trajectory】>>http://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/split.cgi?t=b&lg=AL&year=2012#traj]] 数字はB-RのHit Trajectoryから。Bunts バントの試行回数が多い投手の打席の存在から、DHの有無による影響が大きそうなので 数字を出す際にはリーグを分けたい *AL | |打席 |打数 |安打 |打率 |犠打 |失策 | |2012 |1059 |604 |272 |.450 |455 |26 | |2011 |1240 |710 |295 |.415 |530 |42 | |2010 |1225 |687 |303 |.441 |538 |35 | |2009 |1080 |583 |250 |.429 |497 |28 | |2008 |1109 |632 |271 |.429 |477 |25 | |2007 |1091 |596 |244 |.409 |495 |37 | |2006 |1062 |601 |235 |.391 |461 |36 | |2005 |1064 |595 |236 |.397 |469 |35 | |2004 |1207 |666 |253 |.380 |541 |32 | |2003 |1258 |725 |307 |.423 |533 |43 | |2002 |1017 |518 |262 |.506 |499 |24 | |2001 |1041 |508 |278 |.547 |533 |44 | 2013-06-29T17:12:45+09:00 1372493565 https://w.atwiki.jp/yakyuiroiro/pages/35.html #contents() *AL東 |BAL |[[MLB.com>>http://baltimore.orioles.mlb.com/index.jsp?c_id=bal&tcid=mm_mlb_sitelist]] |[[BR>>http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/BAL/]] |[[FG>>http://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=ALL&teamid=2]] |[[ESPN>>http://espn.go.com/mlb/team/stats/batting/_/name/bal/baltimore-orioles]] | |BOS |[[MLB.com>>http://boston.redsox.mlb.com/index.jsp?c_id=bos&tcid=mm_mlb_sitelist]] |[[BR>>http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/BOS/]] |[[FG>>http://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=ALL&teamid=3]] |[[ESPN>>http://espn.go.com/mlb/team/stats/batting/_/name/bos/boston-red-sox]] | |NYY |[[MLB.com>>http://newyork.yankees.mlb.com/index.jsp?c_id=nyy&tcid=mm_mlb_sitelist]] |[[BR>>http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/NYY/]] |[[FG>>http://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=ALL&teamid=9]] |[[ESPN>>http://espn.go.com/mlb/team/stats/batting/_/name/nyy/new-york-yankees]] | |TBR |[[MLB.com>>http://tampabay.rays.mlb.com/index.jsp?c_id=tb&tcid=mm_mlb_s 2013-05-27T21:20:41+09:00 1369657241 https://w.atwiki.jp/yakyuiroiro/pages/34.html [[ランナー一塁時シングルの進塁力]] [[ランナー一塁時ダブルの進塁力]] [[ランナー二塁時シングルの進塁力]] 2013-04-28T09:03:20+09:00 1367107400 https://w.atwiki.jp/yakyuiroiro/pages/33.html [[Baseball-Reference>>http://www.baseball-reference.com/]]＞[[2012 Major League Baseball Baserunning/Misc>>http://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/MLB/2012-baserunning-batting.shtml#teams_baserunning_batting::none]] | |2ndS |2ndS3 |2ndSH |2ndS他 |2ndS3&br()% |2ndSH&br()% | |2012MLB |5144 |1882 |3052 |210 |36.6% |59.3% | |2011MLB |5338 |1964 |3156 |218 |36.8% |59.1% | |2010MLB |5504 |2040 |3216 |248 |37.1% |58.4% | |2009MLB |5678 |2177 |3294 |207 |38.3% |58.0% | |2008MLB |5783 |2146 |3386 |251 |37.1% |58.6% | |2007MLB |5955 |2210 |3506 |239 |37.1% |58.9% | |2006MLB |5836 |2097 |3503 |236 |35.9% |60.0% | |2005MLB |5581 |2066 |3262 |253 |37.0% |58.4% | |2004MLB |5532 |2016 |3284 |232 |36.4% |59.4% | |2003MLB |5607 |1960 |3375 |272 |35.0% |60.2% | |2002MLB |5594 |1966 |3364 |264 |35.1% |60.1% | |2001MLB |5489 |1899 |3326 |264 |34.6% |60.6% | 2013-04-28T11:04:58+09:00 1367114698 https://w.atwiki.jp/yakyuiroiro/pages/32.html [[Baseball-Reference>>http://www.baseball-reference.com/]]＞[[2012 Major League Baseball Baserunning/Misc>>http://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/MLB/2012-baserunning-batting.shtml#teams_baserunning_batting::none]] | |1stD |1stD3 |1stDH |1stD他 |1stD3&br()% |1stDH&br()% | |2012MLB |2462 |1367 |1030 |65 |55.5% |41.8% | |2011MLB |2539 |1393 |1083 |63 |54.9% |42.7% | |2010MLB |2618 |1469 |1079 |70 |56.1% |41.2% | |2009MLB |2766 |1561 |1137 |68 |56.4% |41.1% | |2008MLB |2809 |1578 |1150 |81 |56.2% |40.9% | |2007MLB |2881 |1594 |1207 |80 |55.3% |41.9% | |2006MLB |2880 |1584 |1161 |135 |55.0% |40.3% | |2005MLB |2789 |1516 |1183 |90 |54.4% |42.4% | |2004MLB |2834 |1535 |1220 |79 |54.2% |43.0% | |2003MLB |2740 |1448 |1208 |84 |52.8% |44.1% | |2002MLB |2572 |1446 |1040 |86 |56.2% |40.4% | |2001MLB |2719 |1433 |1205 |81 |52.7% |44.3% | 2013-04-28T11:00:33+09:00 1367114433 https://w.atwiki.jp/yakyuiroiro/pages/31.html [[Baseball-Reference>>http://www.baseball-reference.com/]]＞[[2012 Major League Baseball Baserunning/Misc>>http://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/MLB/2012-baserunning-batting.shtml#teams_baserunning_batting::none]] | |1stS |1stS2 |1stS3 |1stS他 |1stS2&br()% |1stS3&br()% | |2012MLB |8556 |5934 |2493 |129 |69.4% |29.1% | |2011MLB |8870 |6186 |2571 |113 |69.7% |29.0% | |2010MLB |9118 |6451 |2528 |139 |70.8% |27.7% | |2009MLB |9297 |6700 |2489 |108 |72.1% |26.8% | |2008MLB |9422 |6756 |2562 |104 |71.7% |27.2% | |2007MLB |9717 |6905 |2690 |122 |71.1% |27.7% | |2006MLB |9616 |6823 |2661 |132 |71.0% |27.7% | |2005MLB |9511 |6778 |2618 |115 |71.3% |27.5% | |2004MLB |9498 |6667 |2697 |134 |70.2% |28.4% | |2003MLB |9488 |6704 |2654 |130 |70.7% |28.0% | |2002MLB |9251 |6397 |2712 |142 |69.1% |29.3% | |2001MLB |9064 |6276 |2654 |134 |69.2% |29.3% | 2013-04-28T10:56:33+09:00 1367114193 https://w.atwiki.jp/yakyuiroiro/pages/30.html [[FanGraphs>>http://www.fangraphs.com/]]＞[[AL LD%･GB%･FB%>>http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=al&qual=0&type=c,4,6,43,44,45&season=2012&month=0&season1=2001&ind=0&team=0,ss&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0]] |Season |PA |LD% |GB% |FB% | |2012 |86116 |20.9% |44.5% |34.7% | |2011 |86482 |19.4% |44.0% |36.7% | |2010 |86744 |18.0% |43.9% |38.1% | |2009 |87538 |18.6% |42.6% |38.8% | |2008 |87630 |19.7% |43.6% |36.7% | |2007 |87816 |18.5% |43.9% |37.6% | |2006 |87676 |19.7% |43.6% |36.7% | |2005 |86968 |20.3% |44.2% |35.5% | |2004 |88332 |18.5% |43.8% |37.6% | |2003 |87630 |22.8% |42.1% |35.0% | |2002 |87174 |21.3% |42.3% |36.4% | |2001 |87523 |? |? |? | 2013-02-07T17:13:59+09:00 1360224839 https://w.atwiki.jp/yakyuiroiro/pages/29.html 何か調べるときの出発点 -&bold(){接戦と大差の馬鹿試合、どちらが多いか} --接戦と大差を具体的に何点差からと定義するかにもよるが&br()1点差以内の打席数が全体の48%程度で半数近くだった。5点差以上の打席は15%程度（サンプル：2001～2010　アリーグ） --関連＞[[点差別スタッツ]] -&bold(){ラインドライブヒッターと呼べるLD%はどのくらいか} --とりあえずアリーグ平均LD%が概ね20%前後 --関連＞[[AL 打球分類]] -&bold(){強豪チームと弱小チーム、どちらが個人成績を稼ぎやすいか} -- 2013-02-07T17:22:23+09:00 1360225343 https://w.atwiki.jp/yakyuiroiro/pages/28.html [[2012 AL 点差別スタッツ]] [[2011 AL 点差別スタッツ]] [[2010 AL 点差別スタッツ]] [[2009 AL 点差別スタッツ]] [[2008 AL 点差別スタッツ]] [[2007 AL 点差別スタッツ]] [[2006 AL 点差別スタッツ]] [[2005 AL 点差別スタッツ]] [[2004 AL 点差別スタッツ]] [[2003 AL 点差別スタッツ]] [[2002 AL 点差別スタッツ]] [[2001 AL 点差別スタッツ]] [[2000 AL 点差別スタッツ]] **打席数分布 | |>|同点時 |>|1点差時 |>|2点差時 |>|3点差時 |>|4点差時 |>|5点差以上 | | |打席 |割合 |打席 |割合 |打席 |割合 |打席 |割合 |打席 |割合 |打席 |割合 | |2012 AL|22562 |26.2% |20710 |24.0% |14302 |16.6% |10064 |11.7% |6987 |8.1% |11491 |13.3% | |2011 AL|23257 |26.9% |20756 |24.0% |14089 |16.3% |9490 |11.0% |6608 |7.6% |12282 |14.2% | |2010 AL|23180 |26.7% |20864 |24.1% |14651 |16.9% |9554 |11.0% |7030 |8.1% |11465 |13.2% | |2009 AL|22404 |25.6% |20015 |22.9% |14456 |16.5% |9866 |11.3% |7296 |8.3% |13501 |15.4% | |2008 AL|23064 |26.3% |21508 |24.5% |14461 |16.5% |9240 |10.5% |6246 |7.1% |13111 |15.0% | |2007 AL|22031 |25.1% |20281 |23.1% |15089 |17.2% |10013 |11.4% |6984 |8.0% |13418 |15.3% | |2006 AL|21437 |24.5% |20534 |23.4% |14383 |16.4% |10777 2013-02-07T15:05:14+09:00 1360217114