「カブ価データ２」の編集履歴（バックアップ）一覧はこちら
カブ価データ２ - (2020/06/20 (土) 15:24:47) の１つ前との変更点
追加された行は緑色になります。
削除された行は赤色になります。
*カブ価データ２
[[カブ価報告スレin街へ行こうよどうぶつの森 2>http://schiphol.2ch.net/test/read.cgi/famicom/1229443587]]より
報告のあったカブ価推移データで、有用なデータをまとめたもの、実例集。
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#contents
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スレ2:746くらいまでの報告されたデータと考察
*&color(lime){波型}
#center(){
|BGCOLOR(lightgray):買値|BGCOLOR(lightgray):売値平均|BGCOLOR(lightgray):最高値|BGCOLOR(lightgray):月|BGCOLOR(lightgray):火|BGCOLOR(lightgray):水|BGCOLOR(lightgray):木|BGCOLOR(lightgray):金|BGCOLOR(lightgray):土|
|90|75.66|115|62/54|48/75|&color(lime){99}/82|&color(lime){94/''115''}|82/83|58/56|
|90|82.41|124|87/56|53/46|&color(lime){108/106}|&color(lime){99/93}|83/69|65/&color(lime){''124''}|
|90|81.33|121|58/49|42/&color(lime){94}|88/77|&color(lime){110/113}|56/50|&color(lime){118/''121''}|
|90|86.66|124|69/61|56/109|100/115|124/101|76/113|61/55|
|90|78.80|117|100/61|改/装|117/73|92/64|57/53|83/88|
|91|82.30|116|59/55|改/装|100/106|88/116|105/71|65/58|
|91|85.58|128|62/58|128/124|108/94|74/88|61/56|50/124|
|92|101.00|124|99/59|改装|124/123|100/114|82/107|??/??|
|92|82.91|122|79/&color(lime){''122''}|74/67|61/&color(lime){108}|&color(lime){117}/81|&color(lime){96}/58|50/82|
|92|76.91|102|&color(lime){98}/68|62/60|86/80|&color(lime){''102''}/87|65/58|77/80|
|93|83.91|127|93/75|63/58|50/&color(lime){125}|&color(lime){''127''/110}|&color(lime){96/96}|61/53|
|93|85.75|129|60/54|&color(lime){121}/86|&color(lime){116}/93|82/&color(lime){111}|&color(lime){''129''}/67|58/52|
|94|86.91|130|64/56|50/&color(lime){''130''}|78/&color(lime){122}|&color(lime){118}/99}|77/&color(lime){106}|74/69|
|94|83.17|124|117/83|62/55|124/98|107/92|105/57|53/45|
|94|88.42|128|84/64|58/76|83/123|128/68|65/57|129/126|
|94|82.20|133|70/65|60/130|63/78|86/133|74/63|??/??|
|95|85.00|119|110/93|65/57|50/106|119/90|91/70|62/107|
|95|85.50|130|99/62|55/130|115/85|79/129|70/63|58/81|
|95|96.00|146|66/60|52/146|89/112|114/119|83/|92/123|
|95|89.66|122|&color(lime){118/105}|60/51|42/&color(lime){108}|&color(lime){110/''122''}|&color(lime){100}/76|72/86|
|95|85.41|122|63/60|52/&color(lime){109}|&color(lime){121/''122''}|&color(lime){102}/84|74/65|84/89|
|96|78.25|116|67/61|100/84|91/91|81/87|59/54|48/116|
|97|77.33|115|82/65|59/82|79/91|97/64|56/48|115/90|
|97|87.83|131|88/73|66/&color(lime){110}|&color(lime){101/112}|87/&color(lime){100}|69/62|55/&color(lime){''131''}|
|97|84.16|137|&color(lime){109}/79|73/81|94/87|81/&color(lime){''137''}|80/71|63/55|
|97|83.67|121|90/59|51/46|118/88|118/87|71/67|121/88|
|97|86.33|128|66/58|51/94|118/84|108/108|105/128|62/54|
|98|92.70|131|63/58|88/98|121/122|131/113|70/63|??/??|
|98|86.33|128|&color(lime){120}/64|58/&color(lime){''128''}|98/98|&color(lime){99}/91|68/61|53/&color(lime){116}|
|98|97.00|140|&color(lime){''140''/131}|81/74|69/&color(lime){107}|&color(lime){124}/85|60/64|&color(lime){128/101}|
|98|91.33|137|69/62|57/137|111/114|83/127|66/58|100/112|
|98|86.33|121|91/78|71/65|93/103|121/105|59/51|110/89|
|??|95.17|134|120/71|65/134|127/96|124/110|61/56|50/128|
|??|96.00|131|??/??|??/??|124/110|131/115|67/60|55/106|
|100|86.25|136|117/61|56/95|117/101|93/136|67/57|49/86|
|100|88.67|135|69/62|52/126|81/135|89/83|73/64|105/125|
|101|96.25|129|129/72|67/59|103/128|112/119|78/68|98/122|
|101|91.25|136|74/65|&color(lime){113}/100|97/96|84/&color(lime){110}|&color(lime){''136''}/79|73/68|
|102|98.5|132|81/74|&color(lime){128}/101|&color(lime){106/''132''}|98/90|74/68|62/&color(lime){127}|
|102|90.78|117|??/73|66/111|102/124|93/117|68/63|??/??|
|103|96.58|148|70/61|&color(lime){112/133}|&color(lime){122}/81|&color(lime){140}/78|72/61|&color(lime){''148''}/81|
|104|94.75|143|80/74|65/&color(lime){130}|90/&color(lime){''143''}|&color(lime){139}/90|88/&color(lime){110}|69/59|
|104|92.83|137|78/72|65/137|92/113|118/87|100/72|62/118|
|105|90.75|148|84/80|76/71|67/113|87/148|改/装|??/??|
|106|106.00|147|98/84|79/69|147/130|147/134|145/102|72/65|
|106|105.5|147|82/73|66/104|&color(lime){110/124}|&color(lime){115/144}|&color(lime){143}/83|75/&color(lime){''147''}|
|107|90.58|147|&color(lime){''147''}/89|68/60|&color(lime){122/108}|91/103|101/73|67/58|
|109|87.42|138|115/69|64/57|117/98|109/107|127/79|69/138|
|109|85.40|121|102/114|67/57|49/107|121/89|78/70|??/??|
|109|104.67|142|141/74|??/141|104/112|142/107|??/68|??/53|
|110|99.00|135|113/130|69/63|??/??|135/119|71/64|124/102|
|110|92.58|135|95/91|73/64|91/&color(lime){133}|&color(lime){''135''}/&color(lime){''135''}|71/60|49/&color(lime){114}|
|110|96.75|141|&color(lime){136}/74|63/56|109/&color(lime){135}|&color(lime){119}/91|74/70|93/&color(lime){''141''}|
}
【考察】
買値と売値に相関がある
買値が高い週は高めの売値がつき、買値が低い週は低めの売値がつく
買値：週間最高売値 = １：1.10〜1.53
月PM,火AM,金PM,土AMは高い値がつきにくく、
&bold(){水,木は高い値がつきやすい}
買値を上回る売値がつく機会は、週に２〜６回ほどある。
【売り時】
波型はリスクが大きくリターンが小さいので、堅く売るのがベター。
買値の1.25倍を上回ったら売ってしまうのがおすすめ。
一応1.4倍くらいまでは期待できるので、週の前半で売るならば何割か残してもよい。
変調に比べれば大した利益は期待できないので、お出かけ先で売ってしまうのもアリ。
売値>買値の機会は少なくとも週に２回、平均すると４回ある。
週の前半に売る機会がなくても、焦らず我慢してチャンスを待つべし
逆に、週の前半にチャンスが続いたら警戒し、早めに売りきるのが得策
*&color(blue){ジリ貧型}
【データ】
買値90 - 71/67→64/60→55/51→47/44→??/36→32/29
買値91 - 79/71→68/65→58/52→48 ※月AMメモミスの可能性
買値91 - 63/66→??/58→54/50→47/42→38/??→32/29
買値94 - 75/72→68/64→61/57→54/50→47/43→39/35
買値94 - 改装→67/64→61/57→53/50→47/43→39/36
買値94 - 74/70→65/62→58/54→50/47→43/39→36/33
買値95 - 72/68→65/60→57/53→49/46→41/38→35/30
買値96 - 77/73→70/66→61/58→53/50→46/42→38/34
買値97 - 74/70→66/61→57/54→49/45→40/37→32/27
買値98 - 77/72→69/64→61/57→53/48→45/41→36/32
買値98 - 76/73→69/65→61/57→53/48→45/41→36/33
買値98 - 72/69→65/61→58/54→改装→42/38→32/30 ※買値→月AMが26ベル下落
買値?? - 78/74→70/66→63/58→改装→44/39→35/32
買値104 - 80/74→72/68→64/59→改装→48/44→39/36
買値104 - 80/75→71/67→64/60→55/50→46/43→39/35
買値105 - 82/78→74/69→66/61→59/53→49/44→41/37
買値105 - 84/80→77/72→68/64→60/55→50/45→41/37
買値105 - 83/79→74/70→65/60→56/52→47/43→39/35
買値106 - 81/77→73/69→65/61→57/53→49/45→41/38
買値106 - 76/71→68/64→61/58→55/49→46/41→39/34 ※買値→月AMが30ベル下落
買値107 - 84/79→75/72→67/63→59/56→51/47→42/?
買値108 - 83/79→75/71→66/62→58/53→48/43
買値108 - 83/77→72/67→63/59→55/52→49/45→40/36
買値109 - 87/83→78/74→69/66→62/57→52/47→42/37
買値110 - 80/75→70/64→59/55→50/47→41/36→31/27 ※買値→月AMが30ベル下落 ※買値110→土PMが27ベルと（調査の中では）最悪なパターン。
【考察】
更新毎の下落幅は、ほとんどが3~5ベル。たまに2,6ベル
月AM：71~87ベルで開始し、土PM：27~46で終了する
※あくまで推定だが、買値が90〜110の18〜25下落で、65〜92ベルスタートになるはず。
変調の有無は判別不能か
【売り時】
木曜PMに全売り
通信できる環境ならばお出かけして全売り
*&color(red){高騰型}
買値90 - 最高207 - 70/67→63/59→55/51→&color(red){78/165→''207''/179→89}/70
買値91 - 最高386 - 71/67→改装→??/??→&color(red){83/146→''386''/174→81}/69
買値92 - 最高397 - 72/68→65/62→58/53→&color(red){116/173→''397''/177→??}/??
買値93 - 最高363 - 74/71→68/64→60/&color(red){90→142/''363''→143/改装}→漏れ/68
買値93 - 最高476 - 73/70→67/64→60/56→&color(red){77/140→''476''/??→??}/70
買値94 - 最高196 - 74/70→64/60→58/54→51/&color(red){100→134/''196''→??/??}
買値94 - 最高304 - 74/69→66/62→&color(red){121/157→''304''/147→101}/75→70/67
買値94 - 最高209 - 73/69→63/62→&color(red){124/181→''209''/171→120}/72→69/61
買値94 - 最高374 - 73/68→65/61→57/54→50/&color(red){89→154/''374''→134/108}
買値96 - 最高539 - ??/71→67/63→&color(red){130/139→''539''/158→??}/75→??/??
買値96 - 最高413 - 73/69→65/61→56/&color(red){90→184/''413''→141/105}→76/??
買値97 - 最高444 - 76/78→72/65→??/&color(red){118→147/''444''→170/105}→69/?? ※月AM->PMが微増
買値97 - 最高429 - 77/73→改装→??/55→&color(red){116/173→''429''/181→81}/77
買値97 - 最高417 - 78/74→68/66→&color(red){91/168→''417''/148→78}/71→64/61
買値97 - 最高227 - 72/69→66/63→60/54→53/&color(red){112→169/''227''→155/84}
買値98 - 最高335 - 77/74→70/65→&color(red){123/158→''335''/138→124}/77→74/71
買値99 - 最高299 - 77/74→70/67→63/60→&color(red){96/149→''299''/189→81}/77
買値100 - 最高414 - 77/72→67/63→&color(red){109/161→''414''/146→126}/80→75/72
買値100 - 最高452 - 76/72→67/63→88/178→452/161→93/79→75/71
買値101 - 最高527 - 77/73→69/65→61/56→53/&color(red){140→178/''527''→155/91}
買値101 - 最高452 - 80/75→70/65→&color(red){95/190→''452''/181→??}/80→75/73
買値101 - 最高526 - 77/73→69/66→61/57→&color(red){138/145→''526''/185→97}/78
買値101 - 最高597 - 78/75→改/装→62/&color(red){86→171/''597''→193/119}→80/77
買値103 - 最高495 - 81/78→73/68→&color(red){83/152→''495''/189→104}/78→73/69
買値104 - 最高209 - 82/79→74/71→66/61→&color(red){113/195→''209''/151→??}/79
買値105 - 最高481 - 83/77→73/&color(red){105→178/''481''→206/106}→81/77→72/68
買値105 - 最高449 - 84/80→76/72→68/64→60/&color(red){133→192/''449''→151/??}
買値106 - 最高343 - 84/81→76/73→69/65→61/&color(red){148→198/''343''→??/??}
買値107 - 最高564 - 85/80→76/71→&color(red){147/193→''564''/154→92}/81→77/73
買値107 - 最高237 - 86/82→78/74→71/66→63/&color(red){??→197/''237''→201/129}
買値107 - 最高358 - 85/81→76/71→&color(red){141/201→''358''/207→?}/83→?/65
買値108 - 最高531 - 88/84→78/74→69/141→168/531→168/126→84/80
買値110 - 最高418 - 88/85→81/77→73/69→64/&color(red){101→180/''418''→197/140}
買値110 - 最高363 - 87/82→77/&color(red){97→174/''363''→改/装}→87/83→80/75
上昇額
0-1期：16-87
1-2期：7-111
2-3期：13-443
月AMは確認されたもので 70~88ベル。おそらくジリ貧と同じ
買値や変調前の値動きと最高値の相関はなさそう(わずかにあるかも？)
*&color(deeppink){四期型}
-1期→2期上昇型
買値90 - 最高137 - 72/改装→65/61→59/&color(deeppink){115→118/131→''137''/129}→69/65
買値90 - 最高144 - 69/65→?/58→55/53→49/&color(deeppink){100→121/143→''144''/140}
買値91 - 最高168 - 73/69→？/63→？/55→51/&color(deeppink){93→125/168→''168''/166}
買値92 - 最高162 - 73/69→66/63→59/55→52/&color(deeppink){79→92/146→''162''/133}
買値93 - 最高171 - 73/70→66/63→58/&color(deeppink){92→114/163→''171''/171}→72/69
買値94 - 最高157 - 72/69→65/61→57/&color(deeppink){87→116/133→''157''/改装}→73/69
買値94 - 最高170 - 74/71→68/64→61/58→54/&color(deeppink){114→116/159→''170''/137}
買値94 - 最高174 - 72/69→改装→59/&color(deeppink){85→101/142→''174''/148}→73/70
買値94 - 最高184 - 76/72→69/&color(deeppink){96→119/184→''184''/180→156}/74 ※６期？謎
買値95 - 最高159 - 73/68→65/62→&color(deeppink){87/88→154/''159''→153}/74→??/??
買値95 - 最高189 - 74/70→65/61→57/&color(deeppink){100→108/152→''189''/189}→75/70
買値96 - 最高147 - 73/69→65/65→58/&color(deeppink){90→97/136→''147''/136}→73/69
買値96 - 最高177 - 改/装→68/65→61/58→&color(deeppink){110/124→157/''177''→154}/73
買値96 - 最高180 - 73/69→66/&color(deeppink){81→85/140→''180''/??}→??/??→??/??
買値?? - 最高148 - 74/68→休&color(deeppink){業→104/118→''148''/129}→85/80→74/？
買値97 - 最高162 - 74/69→66/62→59/&color(deeppink){105→107/158→''162''/159}→77/75
買値98 - 最高147 - 78/74→70/67→&color(deeppink){96/108→141/''147''→138}/??→75/71
買値98 - 最高181 - 77/73→68/&color(deeppink){116→119/166→''181''/162}→改装/改装→68/63
買値102 - 最高178 - 80/75→71/68→64/59→&color(deeppink){104/126→167/''178''→??}/??
買値104 - 最高152 - 80/76→73/??→65/60→55/&color(deeppink){100→136/149→''152''/??}
買値105 - 最高151 - 80/76→72/67→&color(deeppink){105/106→147/''151''→149}/84→80/75
買値106 - 最高162 - 81/77→72/69→63/60→&color(deeppink){93/105→162/''162''→??}/??
買値107 - 最高192 - 83/79→74/69→65/60→&color(deeppink){102/147→168/''192''→188}/86
買値107 - 最高204 - 82/78→73/68→64/&color(deeppink){107→121/172→''204''/172}→83/78
買値109 - 最高187 - 88/83→77/74→&color(deeppink){110/131→165/''187''→158}/84→79/74
買値110 - 最高163 - 84/81→77/73→69/65→61/&color(deeppink){91→110/157→''163''/156}
買値104 - 最高195 - 79/75→71/66→86/91→178/195 ※>>791
買値91 - 最高153 - 70/67→63/59→54/50→47/117→117/151→153/137
買値94 - 最高184 - 74/71→67/126→128/133→184/135→76/73→69/65
買値95 - 最高158 - 72/69→66/62→59/54→107/130→142/158→142/73
買値96 - 最高174 - 78/74→72/70→67/64→60/94→132/174→170/168 - 最高 - ※3期→4期が下がっているが5期の下げ幅からみて四期型と判断
買値101 - 最高143 - 78/73→69/64→60/55→51/121→131/143
買値102 - 最高183 - 79/76→71/67→63/59→106/130→151/183→170/82
買値104 - 最高153 - 80/75→70/127→133/150→153/152→82/78→73/68
買値106 - 最高162 - 81/77→72/69→63/60→93/105→162/162→157/83
買値107 - 最高213 - 83/79→76/72→68/98→132/197→213/188→83/?? - 最高 - ※最高値更新213
買値108 - 最高188 - 82/79→74/70→64/59→54/88→136/169→188/167
買値108 - 最高165 - 82/78→74/70→66/63→58/92→97/158→165/159
買値108 - 最高198 - 83/79→75/71→65/101→116/168→198/196→83/79
0-1期：15-60
1-2期：1-87
2-3期：13-66
-1期→2期下落型
買値90 - 最高132 - 70/67→64/&color(deeppink){109→102/132→''132''/132}→70/66→63/60
買値90 - 最高134 - 71/68→64/60→56/&color(deeppink){126→97/132→''134''/130}
買値91 - 最高132 - 71/67→63/58→55/&color(deeppink){101→91/128→''132''/131}
買値92 - 最高132 - 74/70→67/64→58/56→&color(deeppink){91/85→132/''132''→??}/??
買値92 - 最高172 - 72/??→65/&color(deeppink){83→76/152→''172''/140}→72/68→??/61
買値93 - 最高142 - 72/68→64/59→改/&color(deeppink){装→82/140→''142''/134}→74/68
買値93 - 最高??? - 73/71→67/64→61/57→53/&color(deeppink){96→83/142→''改''/装}
買値93 - 最高151 - 74/72→68/64→61/58→改装/&color(deeppink){改装→85/139→''151''/145}
買値96 - 最高135 - 75/71→67/63→59/&color(deeppink){133→82/135→''135''/135}→73/69
買値96 - 最高137 - 76/73→69/&color(deeppink){122→93/134→''137''/135}→73/71→改装
買値96 - 最高148 - 75/71→67/64→&color(deeppink){132/91→142/''148''→147}/74→69/66
買値96 - 最高179 - 73/70→66/62→57/改装→&color(deeppink){94/92→141/''179''→139}/77
買値97 - 最高158 - 76/72→67/&color(deeppink){改装→92/142→''158''/149}→74/69→65/62
買値97 - 最高160 - 78/73→69/65→60/56→&color(deeppink){110/83→149/''160''→143}/74
買値97 - 最高169 - 85/80→76/72→&color(deeppink){100/96→164/''193''→160}/83→78/73 ※買値→月AMが12ベル下落
買値99 - 最高174 - 77/73→69/64→60/&color(deeppink){112→92/150→''174''/164}→77/73
買値100 - 最高191 - 78/73→69/64→&color(deeppink){132/114→172/''191''→143}/78→74/70
買値101 - 最高??? - 77/73→68/65→62/&color(deeppink){108→83/153→''改''/装}→77/74
買値102 - 最高183 - 79/改装→72/&color(deeppink){130→97/153→''183''/156}→79/73→72/69
買値102 - 最高195 - 77/72→68/64→60/&color(deeppink){111→92/179→''195''/180}→81/77
買値103 - 最高154 - 84/81→66/59→??/&color(deeppink){103→100/153→''154''/150}
買値104 - 最高177 - 80/77→72/69→&color(deeppink){126/111→148/''177''→151}/79→??/71
買値108 - 最高159 - 85/80→75/&color(deeppink){125→改装/改装→''159''/153}→84/80→76/73
買値108 - 最高180 - 84/80→75/&color(deeppink){121→112/172→''180''/158}→改/装→74/71
買値108 - 最高183 - 83/78→75/72→67/61→&color(deeppink){143/142→161/''183''→162}/83
買値108 - 最高183 - 改装/77→73/69→&color(deeppink){145/95→164/''183''→175}/87→？/79
買値108 - 最高208 - ？/79→75/71→66/62→&color(deeppink){142/96→203/''208''→168}/86
買値90 - 最高156 - 69/65→62/58→54/106→105/151→156/136→70/66
買値92 - 最高134 - 70/66→61/58→55/96→96/133→134/130→70/66
買値93 - 最高??? - 73/71→67/64→61/57→53/96→83/142→改/装
買値96 - 最高144 - 75/72→68/116→91/141→144/135→74/70→67/63
買値97 - 最高160 - 77/73→69/66→63/59→129/82→138/160→160/76
買値98 - 最高169 - 75/72→67/64→60/83→82/144→169/139→77/73
買値105 - 最高201 - 84/79→76/73→69/64→123/118→199/201→196/80
買値106 - 最高??? - 80/77→72/68→??/131→121/149→??/149→85/80
買値107 - 最高164 - 82/77→72/68→63/147→128/151→164/152→
買値107 - 最高174 - 86/81→78/72→150/119→161/174→160/81→77/73
買値109 - 最高187 - 82/79→75/111→94/180→187/175→85/？→75/72
火PM~木PMで変調して４期目にピークをむかえる。
0-1期：17~82
1-2期：-51~39
2-3期：09~87
3-4期：00~54
4-5期：-48~00
月AMは 69~88ベル
買値と最高値に弱い相関がありそうだが、サンプルデータが少ないのでなんともいえない。
----
**今後調査したいもの
-高騰型と４期型を見分けられる値について
-月曜午前の下落幅が稀に大きくなる現象について
-買値と最高値の相関について
-買値と値動きの比率について
-波型の法則性について
*カブ価データ２
[[カブ価報告スレin街へ行こうよどうぶつの森 2>http://schiphol.2ch.net/test/read.cgi/famicom/1229443587]]より
報告のあったカブ価推移データで、有用なデータをまとめたもの、実例集。
----
#contents
----
スレ2:746くらいまでの報告されたデータと考察
*&color(lime){波型}
#center(){
|BGCOLOR(lightgray):買値|BGCOLOR(lightgray):売値平均|BGCOLOR(lightgray):最高値|BGCOLOR(lightgray):月|BGCOLOR(lightgray):火|BGCOLOR(lightgray):水|BGCOLOR(lightgray):木|BGCOLOR(lightgray):金|BGCOLOR(lightgray):土|
|90|75.66|115|62/54|48/75|&color(lime){99}/82|&color(lime){94/''115''}|82/83|58/56|
|90|82.41|124|87/56|53/46|&color(lime){108/106}|&color(lime){99/93}|83/69|65/&color(lime){''124''}|
|90|81.33|121|58/49|42/&color(lime){94}|88/77|&color(lime){110/113}|56/50|&color(lime){118/''121''}|
|90|86.66|124|69/61|56/109|100/115|124/101|76/113|61/55|
|90|78.80|117|100/61|改/装|117/73|92/64|57/53|83/88|
|91|82.30|116|59/55|改/装|100/106|88/116|105/71|65/58|
|91|85.58|128|62/58|128/124|108/94|74/88|61/56|50/124|
|92|101.00|124|99/59|改装|124/123|100/114|82/107|??/??|
|92|82.91|122|79/&color(lime){''122''}|74/67|61/&color(lime){108}|&color(lime){117}/81|&color(lime){96}/58|50/82|
|92|76.91|102|&color(lime){98}/68|62/60|86/80|&color(lime){''102''}/87|65/58|77/80|
|93|83.91|127|93/75|63/58|50/&color(lime){125}|&color(lime){''127''/110}|&color(lime){96/96}|61/53|
|93|85.75|129|60/54|&color(lime){121}/86|&color(lime){116}/93|82/&color(lime){111}|&color(lime){''129''}/67|58/52|
|94|86.91|130|64/56|50/&color(lime){''130''}|78/&color(lime){122}|&color(lime){118}/99}|77/&color(lime){106}|74/69|
|94|83.17|124|117/83|62/55|124/98|107/92|105/57|53/45|
|94|88.42|128|84/64|58/76|83/123|128/68|65/57|129/126|
|94|82.20|133|70/65|60/130|63/78|86/133|74/63|??/??|
|95|85.00|119|110/93|65/57|50/106|119/90|91/70|62/107|
|95|85.50|130|99/62|55/130|115/85|79/129|70/63|58/81|
|95|96.00|146|66/60|52/146|89/112|114/119|83/|92/123|
|95|89.66|122|&color(lime){118/105}|60/51|42/&color(lime){108}|&color(lime){110/''122''}|&color(lime){100}/76|72/86|
|95|85.41|122|63/60|52/&color(lime){109}|&color(lime){121/''122''}|&color(lime){102}/84|74/65|84/89|
|96|78.25|116|67/61|100/84|91/91|81/87|59/54|48/116|
|97|77.33|115|82/65|59/82|79/91|97/64|56/48|115/90|
|97|87.83|131|88/73|66/&color(lime){110}|&color(lime){101/112}|87/&color(lime){100}|69/62|55/&color(lime){''131''}|
|97|84.16|137|&color(lime){109}/79|73/81|94/87|81/&color(lime){''137''}|80/71|63/55|
|97|83.67|121|90/59|51/46|118/88|118/87|71/67|121/88|
|97|86.33|128|66/58|51/94|118/84|108/108|105/128|62/54|
|98|92.70|131|63/58|88/98|121/122|131/113|70/63|??/??|
|98|86.33|128|&color(lime){120}/64|58/&color(lime){''128''}|98/98|&color(lime){99}/91|68/61|53/&color(lime){116}|
|98|97.00|140|&color(lime){''140''/131}|81/74|69/&color(lime){107}|&color(lime){124}/85|60/64|&color(lime){128/101}|
|98|91.33|137|69/62|57/137|111/114|83/127|66/58|100/112|
|98|86.33|121|91/78|71/65|93/103|121/105|59/51|110/89|
|??|95.17|134|120/71|65/134|127/96|124/110|61/56|50/128|
|??|96.00|131|??/??|??/??|124/110|131/115|67/60|55/106|
|100|86.25|136|117/61|56/95|117/101|93/136|67/57|49/86|
|100|88.67|135|69/62|52/126|81/135|89/83|73/64|105/125|
|101|96.25|129|129/72|67/59|103/128|112/119|78/68|98/122|
|101|91.25|136|74/65|&color(lime){113}/100|97/96|84/&color(lime){110}|&color(lime){''136''}/79|73/68|
|102|98.5|132|81/74|&color(lime){128}/101|&color(lime){106/''132''}|98/90|74/68|62/&color(lime){127}|
|102|90.78|117|??/73|66/111|102/124|93/117|68/63|??/??|
|103|96.58|148|70/61|&color(lime){112/133}|&color(lime){122}/81|&color(lime){140}/78|72/61|&color(lime){''148''}/81|
|104|94.75|143|80/74|65/&color(lime){130}|90/&color(lime){''143''}|&color(lime){139}/90|88/&color(lime){110}|69/59|
|104|92.83|137|78/72|65/137|92/113|118/87|100/72|62/118|
|105|90.75|148|84/80|76/71|67/113|87/148|改/装|??/??|
|106|106.00|147|98/84|79/69|147/130|147/134|145/102|72/65|
|106|105.5|147|82/73|66/104|&color(lime){110/124}|&color(lime){115/144}|&color(lime){143}/83|75/&color(lime){''147''}|
|107|90.58|147|&color(lime){''147''}/89|68/60|&color(lime){122/108}|91/103|101/73|67/58|
|109|87.42|138|115/69|64/57|117/98|109/107|127/79|69/138|
|109|85.40|121|102/114|67/57|49/107|121/89|78/70|??/??|
|109|104.67|142|141/74|??/141|104/112|142/107|??/68|??/53|
|110|99.00|135|113/130|69/63|??/??|135/119|71/64|124/102|
|110|92.58|135|95/91|73/64|91/&color(lime){133}|&color(lime){''135''}/&color(lime){''135''}|71/60|49/&color(lime){114}|
|110|96.75|141|&color(lime){136}/74|63/56|109/&color(lime){135}|&color(lime){119}/91|74/70|93/&color(lime){''141''}|
}
【考察】
買値と売値に相関がある
買値が高い週は高めの売値がつき、買値が低い週は低めの売値がつく
買値：週間最高売値 = １：1.10〜1.53
月PM,火AM,金PM,土AMは高い値がつきにくく、
&bold(){水,木は高い値がつきやすい}
買値を上回る売値がつく機会は、週に２〜６回ほどある。
【売り時】
波型はリスクが大きくリターンが小さいので、堅く売るのがベター。
買値の1.25倍を上回ったら売ってしまうのがおすすめ。
一応1.4倍くらいまでは期待できるので、週の前半で売るならば何割か残してもよい。
変調に比べれば大した利益は期待できないので、お出かけ先で売ってしまうのもアリ。
売値>買値の機会は少なくとも週に２回、平均すると４回ある。
週の前半に売る機会がなくても、焦らず我慢してチャンスを待つべし
逆に、週の前半にチャンスが続いたら警戒し、早めに売りきるのが得策
*&color(blue){ジリ貧型}
【データ】
#center(){|BGCOLOR(lightgray):買値|BGCOLOR(lightgray):月|BGCOLOR(lightgray):火|BGCOLOR(lightgray):水|BGCOLOR(lightgray):木|BGCOLOR(lightgray):金|BGCOLOR(lightgray):土|BGCOLOR(lightgray):備考|
|90|71/67|64/60|55/51|47/44|??/36|32/29||
|91|79/71|68/65|58/52|48|||月AMメモミスの可能性|
|91|63/66|??/58|54/50|47/42|38/??|32/29||
|94|75/72|68/64|61/57|54/50|47/43|39/35||
|94|改装|67/64|61/57|53/50|47/43|39/36||
|94|74/70|65/62|58/54|50/47|43/39|36/33||
|95|72/68|65/60|57/53|49/46|41/38|35/30||
|96|77/73|70/66|61/58|53/50|46/42|38/34||
|97|74/70|66/61|57/54|49/45|40/37|32/27||
|98|77/72|69/64|61/57|53/48|45/41|36/32||
|98|76/73|69/65|61/57|53/48|45/41|36/33||
|98|72/69|65/61|58/54|改装|42/38|32/30|買値→月AMが26ベル下落|
|??|78/74|70/66|63/58|改装|44/39|35/32||
|104|80/74|72/68|64/59|改装|48/44|39/36||
|104|80/75|71/67|64/60|55/50|46/43|39/35||
|105|82/78|74/69|66/61|59/53|49/44|41/37||
|105|84/80|77/72|68/64|60/55|50/45|41/37||
|105|83/79|74/70|65/60|56/52|47/43|39/35||
|106|81/77|73/69|65/61|57/53|49/45|41/38||
|106|76/71|68/64|61/58|55/49|46/41|39/34|買値→月AMが30ベル下落|
|107|84/79|75/72|67/63|59/56|51/47|42/?||
|108|83/79|75/71|66/62|58/53|48/43|||
|108|83/77|72/67|63/59|55/52|49/45|40/36||
|109|87/83|78/74|69/66|62/57|52/47|42/37||
|110|80/75|70/64|59/55|50/47|41/36|31/27|買値→月AMが30ベル下落、買値110→土PMが27ベルと（調査の中では）最悪なパターン。|
}
【考察】
更新毎の下落幅は、ほとんどが3~5ベル。たまに2,6ベル
月AM：71~87ベルで開始し、土PM：27~46で終了する
※あくまで推定だが、買値が90〜110の18〜25下落で、65〜92ベルスタートになるはず。
変調の有無は判別不能か
【売り時】
木曜PMに全売り
通信できる環境ならばお出かけして全売り
*&color(red){高騰型}
#center(){|BGCOLOR(lightgray):買値|BGCOLOR(lightgray):最高値|BGCOLOR(lightgray):月|BGCOLOR(lightgray):火|BGCOLOR(lightgray):水|BGCOLOR(lightgray):木|BGCOLOR(lightgray):金|BGCOLOR(lightgray):土|BGCOLOR(lightgray):備考|
|90|207|70/67|63/59|55/51|&color(red){78/165}|&color(red){''207''/179}|&color(red){89}/70||
|91|386|71/67|改装|??/??|&color(red){83/146}|&color(red){''386''/174}|&color(red){81}/69||
|92|397|72/68|65/62|58/53|&color(red){116/173}|&color(red){''397''/177}|&color(red){??}/??||
|93|363|74/71|68/64|60/&color(red){90}|&color(red){142/''363''}|&color(red){143/改装}|漏れ/68||
|93|476|73/70|67/64|60/56|&color(red){77/140}|&color(red){''476''/??}|&color(red){??}/70||
|94|196|74/70|64/60|58/54|51/&color(red){100}|&color(red){134/''196''}|&color(red){??/??}||
|94|304|74/69|66/62|&color(red){121/157}|&color(red){''304''/147}|&color(red){101}/75|70/67||
|94|209|73/69|63/62|&color(red){124/181}|&color(red){''209''/171}|&color(red){120}/72|69/61||
|94|374|73/68|65/61|57/54|50/&color(red){89}|&color(red){154/''374''}|&color(red){134/108}||
|96|539|??/71|67/63|&color(red){130/139}|&color(red){''539''/158}|&color(red){??}/75|??/??||
|96|413|73/69|65/61|56/&color(red){90}|&color(red){184/''413''}|&color(red){141/105}|76/??||
|97|444|76/78|72/65|??/&color(red){118}|&color(red){147/''444''}|&color(red){170/105}|69/??|月AM->PMが微増|
|97|429|77/73|改装|??/55|&color(red){116/173}|&color(red){''429''/181}|&color(red){81}/77||
|97|417|78/74|68/66|&color(red){91/168}|&color(red){''417''/148}|&color(red){78}/71|64/61||
|97|227|72/69|66/63|60/54|53/&color(red){112}|&color(red){169/''227''}|&color(red){155/84}||
|98|335|77/74|70/65|&color(red){123/158}|&color(red){''335''/138}|&color(red){124}/77|74/71||
|99|299|77/74|70/67|63/60|&color(red){96/149}|&color(red){''299''/189}|&color(red){81}/77||
|100|414|77/72|67/63|&color(red){109/161}|&color(red){''414''/146}|&color(red){126}/80|75/72||
|100|452|76/72|67/63|88/178|452/161|93/79|75/71||
|101|527|77/73|69/65|61/56|53/&color(red){140}|&color(red){178/''527''}|&color(red){155/91}||
|101|452|80/75|70/65|&color(red){95/190}|&color(red){''452''/181}|&color(red){??}/80|75/73||
|101|526|77/73|69/66|61/57|&color(red){138/145}|&color(red){''526''/185}|&color(red){97}/78||
|101|597|78/75|改/装|62/&color(red){86}|&color(red){171/''597''}|&color(red){193/119}|80/77||
|103|495|81/78|73/68|&color(red){83/152}|&color(red){''495''/189}|&color(red){104}/78|73/69||
|104|209|82/79|74/71|66/61|&color(red){113/195}|&color(red){''209''/151}|&color(red){??}/79||
|105|481|83/77|73/&color(red){105}|&color(red){178/''481''}|&color(red){206/106}|81/77|72/68||
|105|449|84/80|76/72|68/64|60/&color(red){133}|&color(red){192/''449''}|&color(red){151/??}||
|106|343|84/81|76/73|69/65|61/&color(red){148}|&color(red){198/''343''}|&color(red){??/??}||
|107|564|85/80|76/71|&color(red){147/193}|&color(red){''564''/154}|&color(red){92}/81|77/73||
|107|237|86/82|78/74|71/66|63/&color(red){??}|&color(red){197/''237''}|&color(red){201/129}||
|107|358|85/81|76/71|&color(red){141/201}|&color(red){''358''/207}|&color(red){?}/83|?/65||
|108|531|88/84|78/74|69/141|168/531|168/126|84/80||
|110|418|88/85|81/77|73/69|64/&color(red){101}|&color(red){180/''418''}|&color(red){197/140}||
|110|363|87/82|77/&color(red){97}|&color(red){174/''363''}|&color(red){改/装}|87/83|80/75||
}
上昇額
0-1期：16-87
1-2期：7-111
2-3期：13-443
月AMは確認されたもので 70~88ベル。おそらくジリ貧と同じ
買値や変調前の値動きと最高値の相関はなさそう(わずかにあるかも？)
*&color(deeppink){四期型}
-1期→2期上昇型
#center(){|BGCOLOR(lightgray):買値|BGCOLOR(lightgray):最高値|BGCOLOR(lightgray):月|BGCOLOR(lightgray):火|BGCOLOR(lightgray):水|BGCOLOR(lightgray):木|BGCOLOR(lightgray):金|BGCOLOR(lightgray):土|BGCOLOR(lightgray):備考|
|90|137|72/改装|65/61|59/&color(deeppink){115}|&color(deeppink){118/131}|&color(deeppink){''137''/129}|69/65||
|90|144|69/65|?/58|55/53|49/&color(deeppink){100}|&color(deeppink){121/143}|&color(deeppink){''144''/140} ||
|91|168|73/69|？/63|？/55|51/&color(deeppink){93}|&color(deeppink){125/168}|&color(deeppink){''168''/166} ||
|91|153|70/67|63/59|54/50|47/117|117/151|153/137||
|92|162|73/69|66/63|59/55|52/&color(deeppink){79}|&color(deeppink){92/146}|&color(deeppink){''162''/133}||
|93|171|73/70|66/63|58/&color(deeppink){92}|&color(deeppink){114/163}|&color(deeppink){''171''/171}|72/69||
|94|157|72/69|65/61|57/&color(deeppink){87}|&color(deeppink){116/133}|&color(deeppink){''157''/改装}|73/69||
|94|170|74/71|68/64|61/58|54/&color(deeppink){114}|&color(deeppink){116/159}|&color(deeppink){''170''/137}||
|94|174|72/69|改装|59/&color(deeppink){85}|&color(deeppink){101/142}|&color(deeppink){''174''/148}|73/70||
|94|184|76/72|69/&color(deeppink){96}|&color(deeppink){119/184}|&color(deeppink){''184''/180}|&color(deeppink){156}/74||６期？謎|
|94|184|74/71|67/126|128/133|184/135|76/73|69/65||
|95|159|73/68|65/62|&color(deeppink){87/88}|&color(deeppink){154/''159''}|&color(deeppink){153}/74|??/??||
|95|189|74/70|65/61|57/&color(deeppink){100}|&color(deeppink){108/152}|&color(deeppink){''189''/189}|75/70||
|95|158|72/69|66/62|59/54|107/130|142/158|142/73||
|96|147|73/69|65/65|58/&color(deeppink){90}|&color(deeppink){97/136}|&color(deeppink){''147''/136}|73/69 ||
|96|177|改/装|68/65|61/58|&color(deeppink){110/124}|&color(deeppink){157/''177''}|&color(deeppink){154}/73||
|96|180|73/69|66/&color(deeppink){81}|&color(deeppink){85/140}|&color(deeppink){''180''/??}|??/??|??/??||
|96|174|78/74|72/70|67/64|60/94|132/174|170/168|3期→4期が下がっているが5期の下げ幅からみて四期型と判断|
|??|148|74/68|休&color(deeppink){業}|&color(deeppink){104/118}|&color(deeppink){''148''/129}|85/80|74/？||
|97|162|74/69|66/62|59/&color(deeppink){105}|&color(deeppink){107/158}|&color(deeppink){''162''/159}|77/75||
|98|147|78/74|70/67|&color(deeppink){96/108}|&color(deeppink){141/''147''}|&color(deeppink){138}/??|75/71||
|98|181|77/73|68/&color(deeppink){116}|&color(deeppink){119/166}|&color(deeppink){''181''/162}|改装/改装|68/63||
|101|143|78/73|69/64|60/55|51/121|131/143|||
|102|178|80/75|71/68|64/59|&color(deeppink){104/126}|&color(deeppink){167/''178''}|&color(deeppink){??}/??||
|102|183|79/76|71/67|63/59|106/130|151/183|170/82||
|104|195|79/75|71/66|86/91|178/195|||>>791|
|104|152|80/76|73/??|65/60|55/&color(deeppink){100}|&color(deeppink){136/149}|&color(deeppink){''152''/??}||
|104|153|80/75|70/127|133/150|153/152|82/78|73/68||
|105|151|80/76|72/67|&color(deeppink){105/106}|&color(deeppink){147/''151''}|&color(deeppink){149}/84|80/75||
|106|162|81/77|72/69|63/60|&color(deeppink){93/105}|&color(deeppink){162/''162''}|&color(deeppink){??}/??||
|106|162|81/77|72/69|63/60|93/105|162/162|157/83||
|107|192|83/79|74/69|65/60|&color(deeppink){102/147}|&color(deeppink){168/''192''}|&color(deeppink){188}/86||
|107|204|82/78|73/68|64/&color(deeppink){107}|&color(deeppink){121/172}|&color(deeppink){''204''/172}|83/78||
|107|213|83/79|76/72|68/98|132/197|213/188|83/??|最高値更新213|
|108|188|82/79|74/70|64/59|54/88|136/169|188/167||
|108|165|82/78|74/70|66/63|58/92|97/158|165/159||
|108|198|83/79|75/71|65/101|116/168|198/196|83/79||
|109|187|88/83|77/74|&color(deeppink){110/131}|&color(deeppink){165/''187''}|&color(deeppink){158}/84|79/74||
|110|163|84/81|77/73|69/65|61/&color(deeppink){91}|&color(deeppink){110/157}|&color(deeppink){''163''/156}||
}
0-1期：15-60
1-2期：1-87
2-3期：13-66
-1期→2期下落型
#center(){|BGCOLOR(lightgray):買値|BGCOLOR(lightgray):最高値|BGCOLOR(lightgray):月|BGCOLOR(lightgray):火|BGCOLOR(lightgray):水|BGCOLOR(lightgray):木|BGCOLOR(lightgray):金|BGCOLOR(lightgray):土|BGCOLOR(lightgray):備考|
|90|132|70/67|64/&color(deeppink){109}|&color(deeppink){102/132}|&color(deeppink){''132''/132}|70/66|63/60||
|90|134|71/68|64/60|56/&color(deeppink){126}|&color(deeppink){97/132}|&color(deeppink){''134''/130}|||
|90|156|69/65|62/58|54/106|105/151|156/136|70/66||
|91|132|71/67|63/58|55/&color(deeppink){101}|&color(deeppink){91/128}|&color(deeppink){''132''/131}|||
|92|132|74/70|67/64|58/56|&color(deeppink){91/85}|&color(deeppink){132/''132''}|&color(deeppink){??}/??||
|92|172|72/??|65/&color(deeppink){83}|&color(deeppink){76/152}|&color(deeppink){''172''/140}|72/68|??/61||
|92|134|70/66|61/58|55/96|96/133|134/130|70/66||
|93|142|72/68|64/59|改/&color(deeppink){装}|&color(deeppink){82/140}|&color(deeppink){''142''/134}|74/68||
|93|???|73/71|67/64|61/57|53/&color(deeppink){96}|&color(deeppink){83/142}|&color(deeppink){''改''/装}||
|93|151|74/72|68/64|61/58|改装/&color(deeppink){改装}|&color(deeppink){85/139}|&color(deeppink){''151''/145}||
|93|???|73/71|67/64|61/57|53/96|83/142|改/装||
|96|135|75/71|67/63|59/&color(deeppink){133}|&color(deeppink){82/135}|&color(deeppink){''135''/135}|73/69||
|96|137|76/73|69/&color(deeppink){122}|&color(deeppink){93/134}|&color(deeppink){''137''/135}|73/71|改装||
|96|148|75/71|67/64|&color(deeppink){132/91}|&color(deeppink){142/''148''}|&color(deeppink){147}/74|69/66||
|96|179|73/70|66/62|57/改装|&color(deeppink){94/92}|&color(deeppink){141/''179''}|&color(deeppink){139}/77||
|96|144|75/72|68/116|91/141|144/135|74/70|67/63||
|97|158|76/72|67/&color(deeppink){改装}|&color(deeppink){92/142}|&color(deeppink){''158''/149}|74/69|65/62||
|97|160|78/73|69/65|60/56|&color(deeppink){110/83}|&color(deeppink){149/''160''}|&color(deeppink){143}/74||
|97|169|85/80|76/72|&color(deeppink){100/96}|&color(deeppink){164/''193''}|&color(deeppink){160}/83|78/73|買値→月AMが12ベル下落|
|97|160|77/73|69/66|63/59|129/82|138/160|160/76||
|98|169|75/72|67/64|60/83|82/144|169/139|77/73||
|99|174|77/73|69/64|60/&color(deeppink){112}|&color(deeppink){92/150}|&color(deeppink){''174''/164}|77/73||
|100|191|78/73|69/64|&color(deeppink){132/114}|&color(deeppink){172/''191''}|&color(deeppink){143}/78|74/70||
|101|???|77/73|68/65|62/&color(deeppink){108}|&color(deeppink){83/153}|&color(deeppink){''改''/装}|77/74||
|102|183|79/改装|72/&color(deeppink){130}|&color(deeppink){97/153}|&color(deeppink){''183''/156}|79/73|72/69||
|102|195|77/72|68/64|60/&color(deeppink){111}|&color(deeppink){92/179}|&color(deeppink){''195''/180}|81/77||
|103|154|84/81|66/59|??/&color(deeppink){103}|&color(deeppink){100/153}|&color(deeppink){''154''/150}|||
|104|177|80/77|72/69|&color(deeppink){126/111}|&color(deeppink){148/''177''}|&color(deeppink){151}/79|??/71||
|105|201|84/79|76/73|69/64|123/118|199/201|196/80||
|106|???|80/77|72/68|??/131|121/149|??/149|85/80||
|107|164|82/77|72/68|63/147|128/151|164/152|||
|107|174|86/81|78/72|150/119|161/174|160/81|77/73||
|108|208|？/79|75/71|66/62|&color(deeppink){142/96}|&color(deeppink){203/''208''}|&color(deeppink){168}/86||
|108|159|85/80|75/&color(deeppink){125}|&color(deeppink){改装/改装}|&color(deeppink){''159''/153}|84/80|76/73||
|108|180|84/80|75/&color(deeppink){121}|&color(deeppink){112/172}|&color(deeppink){''180''/158}|改/装|74/71||
|108|183|83/78|75/72|67/61|&color(deeppink){143/142}|&color(deeppink){161/''183''}|&color(deeppink){162}/83||
|108|183|改装/77|73/69|&color(deeppink){145/95}|&color(deeppink){164/''183''}|&color(deeppink){175}/87|？/79||
|109|187|82/79|75/111|94/180|187/175|85/？|75/72||
}
火PM~木PMで変調して４期目にピークをむかえる。
0-1期：17~82
1-2期：-51~39
2-3期：09~87
3-4期：00~54
4-5期：-48~00
月AMは 69~88ベル
買値と最高値に弱い相関がありそうだが、サンプルデータが少ないのでなんともいえない。
----
**今後調査したいもの
-高騰型と４期型を見分けられる値について
-月曜午前の下落幅が稀に大きくなる現象について
-買値と最高値の相関について
-買値と値動きの比率について
-波型の法則性について
